290075 VO Analysing Changing Impact of Compounding and Multi-Hazard Events (2023S)

The course will be given by Prof. Dr. Cees van Westen, Professor, Multi-Hazard Risk Dynamics at the University of Twente, and several other guest lecturers.

The devastating earthquakes of 6 February 2023 in Turkey and Syria were a clear illustration of the complex direct and indirect cross-border impacts caused by compounding events.
The course aims at investigating approaches for increasing the preparedness of societies in the face of compounding and multi-hazard events and reducing the risks related to impacts on various sectors that result from complex disasters. The main outcome is to develop methods that offer support in reducing dynamic risk scenarios and systemic vulnerability caused by multi-hazard disasters.
In order to achieve these objectives, the course will perform in-depth assessments of complex hazard interactions between hazards and their resulting impacts in various sectors, as well as analyse the current risk situation and study how alternative study how future scenarios could change multi-hazard impacts chains. Based on this analysis, these scenarios of multi-hazard impacts will be illustrated with examples from case study areas (including the Caribbean, Romania, Istanbul, and Alpine areas).

Schedule and topics:
22-03-2023 – Introduction and concepts
29-03-2023 – The February 2023 Earthquakes in Turkey and Syria: impacts
05-04-2023 – Multi-Hazard Modelling (not relevant for the exam)
12-04-2023 – Multi-sectoral, elements-at-risk: classification and characterisation (not relevant for the exam)
19-04-2023 – Remote Sensing & AI for mapping & Characterizing built-up areas
26-04-2023 – Vulnerability and capacity assessment
03-05-2023 – Quantitative risk analysis
10-05-2023 – Qualitative risk analysis
17-05-2023 – Defining Impact chains
24-05-2023 – Future Scenarios and changing risk
31-05-2023 – Comparing and selection of risk reduction options
07-06-2023 – Tools for co-creation of scenarios and alternatives
14-06-2023 – Serious Games for risk reduction planning
28-06-2023 – Exam