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040039 UK Applied Macroeconomics (BA) (2021W)
Continuous assessment of course work
Labels
REMOTE
Registration/Deregistration
Note: The time of your registration within the registration period has no effect on the allocation of places (no first come, first served).
- Registration is open from Mo 13.09.2021 09:00 to Th 23.09.2021 12:00
- Deregistration possible until Fr 15.10.2021 23:59
Details
max. 50 participants
Language: English
Lecturers
Classes (iCal) - next class is marked with N
- Tuesday 05.10. 15:00 - 16:30 Digital
- Wednesday 06.10. 09:45 - 11:15 Digital
- Tuesday 12.10. 15:00 - 16:30 Digital
- Wednesday 13.10. 09:45 - 11:15 Digital
- Tuesday 19.10. 15:00 - 16:30 Digital
- Wednesday 20.10. 09:45 - 11:15 Digital
- Wednesday 27.10. 09:45 - 11:15 Digital
- Wednesday 03.11. 09:45 - 11:15 Digital
- Tuesday 09.11. 15:00 - 16:30 Digital
- Wednesday 10.11. 09:45 - 11:15 Digital
- Tuesday 16.11. 15:00 - 16:30 Digital
- Wednesday 17.11. 09:45 - 11:15 Digital
- Tuesday 23.11. 15:00 - 16:30 Digital
- Wednesday 24.11. 09:45 - 11:15 Digital
- Tuesday 30.11. 15:00 - 16:30 Digital
- Wednesday 01.12. 09:45 - 11:15 Digital
- Tuesday 07.12. 15:00 - 16:30 Digital
- Tuesday 14.12. 15:00 - 16:30 Digital
- Wednesday 15.12. 09:45 - 11:15 Digital
- Tuesday 11.01. 15:00 - 16:30 Digital
- Wednesday 12.01. 09:45 - 11:15 Digital
- Tuesday 18.01. 15:00 - 16:30 Digital
- Wednesday 19.01. 09:45 - 11:15 Digital
- Tuesday 25.01. 15:00 - 16:30 Digital
- Wednesday 26.01. 09:45 - 11:15 Digital
Information
Aims, contents and method of the course
To what extent can monetary and fiscal policy stabilize economic activity? How does the economy evolve in the aftermath of a financial market disruption? What is the effect of an increase in uncertainty on macroeconomic variables?In this course, we learn how macroeconomists address such questions empirically. The class has two components. First, we lay the groundwork and study the most common econometric time-series methods macroeconomists use today. Second, we apply these methods and study contemporaneous macroeconomic questions and phenomena. We also contrast the empirical findings with the theories you learned over the course of your degree.
Assessment and permitted materials
Two problem sets (each accounts for 1/3 of the final grade) and a final exam (accounts for 1/3 of the final grade).The minimal requirement for a positive course grade is to achieve half of all possible points.
Minimum requirements and assessment criteria
- Good knowledge of basic econometrics (Introductory Econometrics)
- Basic knowledge of macroeconomics
- Basic knowledge of macroeconomics
Examination topics
- Time-series econometric methods (autoregressive models & moving average models)
- Structural identification strategies used by macroeconomists
- Understanding and interpretation of empirical findings
- Structural identification strategies used by macroeconomists
- Understanding and interpretation of empirical findings
Reading list
Lecture slidesBackground reading: Hamilton (1994). Time Series Analysis, Princeton University Press.
Ramey (2016). Macroeconomic Shocks and Their Propagation, Handbook of Macroeconomics, Elsevier.Further material (if interested, not required!!)Methodology:Jorda (2005). Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections. The American Economic Review, 95(1):161–182.Sims, C. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality, Econometrica 48(1), 1–48Fiscal Policy: Government SpendingAuerbach, A. J. and Gorodnichenko, Y. (2012b). Measuring the output responses to fiscal policy. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 4(2):1–27Auerbach, A. J. and Gorodnichenko, Y. (2012a). Fiscal multipliers in recession and expansion. In Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis, pages 63–98. Uni- versity of Chicago press.
Barro, R. J. and Redlick, C. J. (2011). Macroeconomic effects from government purchases and taxes. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126(1):51–102.Blanchard, O. and Perotti, R. (2002). An empirical characterization of the dynamic effects of changes in government spending and taxes on output. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4):1329–1368.Ramey, V. A. (2011). Identifying government spending shocks: it’s all in the timing. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126(1):1–50.Ramey, V. A. and Zubairy, S. (2016). Government spending multipliers in good times and in bad: evidence from US historical data. Journal of Political Econ-omy, forthcoming.Mountford, A. & Uhlig, H. (2009). What are the effects of fiscal policy shocks?, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol 24(6), pages 960-992.Fiscal Policy: Tax ChangesBlanchard, O. and Perotti, R. (2002). An empirical characterization of the dy- namic effects of changes in government spending and taxes on output. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4):1329–1368.Cloyne, J. (2013). Discretionary tax changes and the macroeconomy: new narrative evidence from the United Kingdom. The American Economic Review, 103(4):1507–1528.Mertens, K. and Ravn, M. O. (2013). The dynamic effects of personal and corpo- rate income tax changes in the United States. The American Economic Review, 103(4):1212–1247.Mertens, K. and Ravn, M. O. (2014). A reconciliation of SVAR and narrative estimates of tax multipliers. Journal of Monetary Economics, 68:S1–S19.Perotti, R. (2012). The effects of tax shocks on output: not so large, but not small either. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 4(2):214–237.Romer, C. D. and Romer, D. H. (2010). The Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes: Estimates Based on a New Measure of Fiscal Shocks. The American Economic Review, 100:763–801.Mountford, A. & Uhlig, H. (2009). What are the effects of fiscal policy shocks?, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol 24(6), pages 960-992.
Monetary PolicyCloyne, J. and Huertgen, P. (2016). The Macroeconomic Effects of Monetary Policy: A New Measure for the United Kingdom. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 8(4):75–102.Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2005. Time-varying structural vector autoregressions and monetary policy. Oxford University Press, vol. 72(3), pages 821-852.Romer, C., and D. Romer. (1994). A New Measure of Monetary Shocks: Derivation and Implications, American Economic Review 94 (4): 1055–84, 2004Tenreyro, S. and G. Thwaites. (2016). Pushing on a String: US Monetary Policy Is Less Powerful in Recessions, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 8(4): 43-74Uhlig, H. What are the effects of monetary policy on output? Results from an agnostic identification procedure, Journal of Monetary Economics, vol. 52(2), pages 381-419, March 2005
Ramey (2016). Macroeconomic Shocks and Their Propagation, Handbook of Macroeconomics, Elsevier.Further material (if interested, not required!!)Methodology:Jorda (2005). Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections. The American Economic Review, 95(1):161–182.Sims, C. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality, Econometrica 48(1), 1–48Fiscal Policy: Government SpendingAuerbach, A. J. and Gorodnichenko, Y. (2012b). Measuring the output responses to fiscal policy. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 4(2):1–27Auerbach, A. J. and Gorodnichenko, Y. (2012a). Fiscal multipliers in recession and expansion. In Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis, pages 63–98. Uni- versity of Chicago press.
Barro, R. J. and Redlick, C. J. (2011). Macroeconomic effects from government purchases and taxes. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126(1):51–102.Blanchard, O. and Perotti, R. (2002). An empirical characterization of the dynamic effects of changes in government spending and taxes on output. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4):1329–1368.Ramey, V. A. (2011). Identifying government spending shocks: it’s all in the timing. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126(1):1–50.Ramey, V. A. and Zubairy, S. (2016). Government spending multipliers in good times and in bad: evidence from US historical data. Journal of Political Econ-omy, forthcoming.Mountford, A. & Uhlig, H. (2009). What are the effects of fiscal policy shocks?, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol 24(6), pages 960-992.Fiscal Policy: Tax ChangesBlanchard, O. and Perotti, R. (2002). An empirical characterization of the dy- namic effects of changes in government spending and taxes on output. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4):1329–1368.Cloyne, J. (2013). Discretionary tax changes and the macroeconomy: new narrative evidence from the United Kingdom. The American Economic Review, 103(4):1507–1528.Mertens, K. and Ravn, M. O. (2013). The dynamic effects of personal and corpo- rate income tax changes in the United States. The American Economic Review, 103(4):1212–1247.Mertens, K. and Ravn, M. O. (2014). A reconciliation of SVAR and narrative estimates of tax multipliers. Journal of Monetary Economics, 68:S1–S19.Perotti, R. (2012). The effects of tax shocks on output: not so large, but not small either. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 4(2):214–237.Romer, C. D. and Romer, D. H. (2010). The Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes: Estimates Based on a New Measure of Fiscal Shocks. The American Economic Review, 100:763–801.Mountford, A. & Uhlig, H. (2009). What are the effects of fiscal policy shocks?, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol 24(6), pages 960-992.
Monetary PolicyCloyne, J. and Huertgen, P. (2016). The Macroeconomic Effects of Monetary Policy: A New Measure for the United Kingdom. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 8(4):75–102.Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2005. Time-varying structural vector autoregressions and monetary policy. Oxford University Press, vol. 72(3), pages 821-852.Romer, C., and D. Romer. (1994). A New Measure of Monetary Shocks: Derivation and Implications, American Economic Review 94 (4): 1055–84, 2004Tenreyro, S. and G. Thwaites. (2016). Pushing on a String: US Monetary Policy Is Less Powerful in Recessions, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 8(4): 43-74Uhlig, H. What are the effects of monetary policy on output? Results from an agnostic identification procedure, Journal of Monetary Economics, vol. 52(2), pages 381-419, March 2005
Association in the course directory
Last modified: Fr 12.05.2023 00:12